Impact on option prices of divergent consumer confidence

Huang, J (2002) Impact on option prices of divergent consumer confidence. Working Paper. The Department of Accounting and Finance, Lancaster University.

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Abstract

This paper investigates the impact on option prices of divergent consumer confidence. To model this, we assume that consumers disagree on the expected growth rate of aggregate consumption. With other conditions unchanged in the discrete-time Black-Scholes option-pricing model, we show that the representative consumer will have declining relative risk aversion instead of the assumed constant relative risk aversion. In this case all options will be underpriced by the Black-Scholes model under the assumption of bivariate lognormality. We also extend Benninga and Mayshars (2000) results about impact on option prices of heterogeneous beliefs and preferences to an N-agent economy.

Item Type:
Monograph (Working Paper)
Uncontrolled Keywords:
/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/aacsb/disciplinebasedresearch
Subjects:
ID Code:
48622
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
11 Jul 2011 21:02
Refereed?:
No
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
05 Jun 2020 06:37