HTAP3 Fires : towards a multi-model, multi-pollutant study of fire impacts

Whaley, C. H. and Butler, T. and Adame, J. A. and Ambulkar, R. and Arnold, S. R. and Buchholz, R. R. and Gaubert, B. and Hamilton, D. S. and Huang, M. and Hung, H. and Kaiser, J. W. and Kaminski, J. W. and Knote, C. and Koren, G. and Kouassi, J.-L. and Lin, M. and Liu, T. and Ma, J. and Manomaiphiboon, K. and Bergas Masso, E. and McCarty, J. L. and Mertens, M. and Parrington, M. and Peiro, H. and Saxena, P. and Sonwani, S. and Surapipith, V. and Tan, D. Y. T. and Tang, W. and Tanpipat, V. and Tsigaridis, K. and Wiedinmyer, C. and Wild, O. and Xie, Y. and Zuidema, P. (2025) HTAP3 Fires : towards a multi-model, multi-pollutant study of fire impacts. Geoscientific Model Development, 18 (11). pp. 3265-3309. ISSN 1991-959X

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Abstract

Open biomass burning has major impacts globally and regionally on atmospheric composition. Fire emissions include particulate matter, tropospheric ozone precursors, and greenhouse gases, as well as persistent organic pollutants, mercury, and other metals. Fire frequency, intensity, duration, and location are changing as the climate warms, and modelling these fires and their impacts is becoming more and more critical to inform climate adaptation and mitigation, as well as land management. Indeed, the air pollution from fires can reverse the progress made by emission controls on industry and transportation. At the same time, nearly all aspects of fire modelling – such as emissions, plume injection height, long-range transport, and plume chemistry – are highly uncertain. This paper outlines a multi-model, multi-pollutant, multi-regional study to improve the understanding of the uncertainties and variability in fire atmospheric science, models, and fires' impacts, in addition to providing quantitative estimates of the air pollution and radiative impacts of biomass burning. Coordinated under the auspices of the Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution, the international atmospheric modelling and fire science communities are working towards the common goal of improving global fire modelling and using this multi-model experiment to provide estimates of fire pollution for impact studies. This paper outlines the research needs, opportunities, and options for the fire-focused multi-model experiments and provides guidance for these modelling experiments, outputs, and analyses that are to be pursued over the next 3 to 5 years. The paper proposes a plan for delivering specific products at key points over this period to meet important milestones relevant to science and policy audiences.

Item Type:
Journal Article
Journal or Publication Title:
Geoscientific Model Development
Uncontrolled Keywords:
Research Output Funding/no_not_funded
Subjects:
?? biomass burningwildfiresozoneair qualitytropospheric chemistrynumerical modellingno - not fundedatmospheric scienceglobal and planetary changemodelling and simulationearth and planetary sciences(all)sdg 13 - climate actionsdg 3 - good health and well-bein ??
ID Code:
229814
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
03 Jun 2025 10:15
Refereed?:
Yes
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
18 Jun 2025 00:42