Prediction-market innovations can improve climate-risk forecasts

Roulston, Mark and Kaplan, Todd and Day, Brett and Kaivanto, Kim (2022) Prediction-market innovations can improve climate-risk forecasts. Nature Climate Change, 12 (10). pp. 879-880. ISSN 1758-678X

[thumbnail of NCLIM22050786B Manuscript, no cover page]
Text (NCLIM22050786B Manuscript, no cover page)
NCLIM22050786B_Manuscript_no_cover_page.pdf - Accepted Version
Available under License Other.

Download (3MB)

Abstract

Forward-looking information about climate risks is critical for decision makers, but the provision and accuracy of such information is limited. Innovative prediction-market designs could provide a mechanism to enhance applied climate research in an incentive-compatible way.

Item Type:
Journal Article
Journal or Publication Title:
Nature Climate Change
Uncontrolled Keywords:
/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2300/2301
Subjects:
?? prediction marketclimate riskcircularity problemtwo-dimensional marketconditional forecastsenvironmental science (miscellaneous)social sciences (miscellaneous)d8g1q54 ??
ID Code:
175517
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
05 Sep 2022 13:45
Refereed?:
Yes
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
25 Mar 2024 00:40