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Comments on generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation.

Romanowicz, Renata and Beven, Keith J. (2006) Comments on generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 91 (10-11). pp. 1315-1321. ISSN 0951-8320

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Abstract

The paper presents an application of the generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation methodology to the problem of estimating the uncertainty of predictions produced by environmental models. The methodology is placed in a wider context of different approaches to inverse modelling and, in particular, a comparison is made with Bayesian estimation techniques based on explicit structural assumptions about model error. Using a simple example of a rainfall-flow model, different evaluation measures and their influence on the prediction uncertainty and credibility intervals are demonstrated.

Item Type: Article
Journal or Publication Title: Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Uncontrolled Keywords: Bayesian inference ; Deterministic environmental models ; Generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) ; Model determination
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
Departments: Faculty of Science and Technology > Lancaster Environment Centre
ID Code: 9071
Deposited By: Ms Margaret Calder
Deposited On: 22 May 2008 12:53
Refereed?: Yes
Published?: Published
Last Modified: 26 Jul 2012 18:31
Identification Number:
URI: http://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/9071

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