Items where Author is "Svetunkov, Ivan"
Journal Article
Svetunkov, Ivan and Boylan, John E (2024) Staying Positive : Challenges and Solutions in Using Pure Multiplicative ETS Models. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 35 (3). pp. 403-425. ISSN 1471-678X
Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Killick, Rebecca (2024) Multi-step Estimators and Shrinkage Effect in Time Series Models. Computational Statistics, 39 (3). pp. 1203-1239. ISSN 0943-4062
Svetunkov, Ivan and Boylan, John E. (2023) iETS: State space model for intermittent demand forecasting. International Journal of Production Economics, 265: 109013. ISSN 0925-5273
Schaer, Oliver and Svetunkov, Ivan and Fildes, Robert (2023) What Do We Learn from Forecasting Software Surveys. Foresight Magazine, 71 (Q4).
Svetunkov, Ivan and Boylan, John E. and Chen, Huijing (2023) Cross-Learning with Short Seasonal Time Series. Foresight Magazine, 70 (Q3).
Pritularga, Kandrika and Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2023) Shrinkage Estimator for Exponential Smoothing Models. International Journal of Forecasting, 39 (3). pp. 1351-1365. ISSN 0169-2070
Rostami-Tabar, Bahman and Browell, Jethro and Svetunkov, Ivan (2023) Probabilistic forecasting of hourly emergency department arrivals. Health Systems. ISSN 2047-6965
Svetunkov, Ivan and Chen, Huijing and Boylan, John E. (2023) A New Taxonomy for Vector Exponential Smoothing and Its Application to Seasonal Time Series. European Journal of Operational Research, 304 (3). pp. 964-980. ISSN 0377-2217
Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Ord, John Keith (2022) Complex exponential smoothing. Naval Research Logistics, 69 (8). pp. 1108-1123. ISSN 0894-069X
Schaer, Oliver and Svetunkov, Ivan and Yusupova, Alisa and Fildes, Robert (2022) Survey: Forecasting Software Trends in a Challenging World. ORMS-Today, 49 (5).
Liu, Congzheng and Letchford, Adam and Svetunkov, Ivan (2022) Newsvendor problems : An integrated method for estimation and optimisation. European Journal of Operational Research, 300 (2). pp. 590-601. ISSN 0377-2217
Pritularga, Kandrika and Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2021) Stochastic coherency in forecast reconciliation. International Journal of Production Economics, 240: 108221. ISSN 0925-5273
Fildes, Robert and Schaer, Oliver and Svetunkov, Ivan and Yusupova, Alisa (2020) Survey: What’s new in forecasting software? Operations Research Management Science Today, 47 (4). ISSN 1085-1038
Svetunkov, Ivan and Boylan, John Edward (2020) State-space ARIMA for supply-chain forecasting. International Journal of Production Research, 58 (3). pp. 818-827. ISSN 0020-7543
Petropoulos, Fotios and Svetunkov, Ivan (2020) A Simple Combination of Univariate Models. International Journal of Forecasting, 36 (1). pp. 110-115. ISSN 0169-2070
Fildes, Robert Alan and Schaer, Oliver and Svetunkov, Ivan (2018) Software Survey : Forecasting 2018. ORMS-Today, 45 (3).
Svetunkov, Ivan and Petropoulos, Fotios (2018) Old dog, new tricks : a modelling view of simple moving averages. International Journal of Production Research, 56 (18). pp. 6034-6047. ISSN 0020-7543
Svetunkov, Ivan (2011) New coefficients of econometrics models quality estimation. Applied Econometrics, 24 (4). pp. 85-99.
Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings
Svetunkov, Sergey and Svetunkov, Ivan (2024) On the Issue of Choosing the Best Predictive Model Based on Bayesian Principles. In: Understanding the Digital Transformation of Socio-Economic-Technological Systems :. Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems . Springer, Cham, pp. 107-119. ISBN 9783031566769
Monograph
Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2018) Complex Exponential Smoothing for Seasonal Time Series. Working Paper. Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, Lancaster.
Svetunkov, Ivan and Boylan, John Edward (2017) Multiplicative State-Space Models for Intermittent Time Series. Working Paper. Lancaster University Management School, Lancaster.
Svetunkov, Ivan (2017) Statistical models underlying functions of 'smooth' package for R. Working Paper. Lancaster University Management School, Lancaster.
Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikos (2016) Complex exponential smoothing. Working Paper. Lancaster University Management School, Lancaster.
Book/Report/Proceedings
Svetunkov, Ivan (2023) Forecasting and Analytics with the Augmented Dynamic Adaptive Model (ADAM). Chapman and Hall. ISBN 9781032590370
Thesis
Pritularga, Kandrika and Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikos (2023) Mitigating parameter uncertainty in business forecasting. PhD thesis, Lancaster University.
Liu, Congzheng and Letchford, Adam and Svetunkov, Ivan (2023) Extensions to Newsvendor Problems. PhD thesis, Lancaster University.
Barker, Tom and Svetunkov, Ivan and Mouzas, Stefanos and Dokka Venkata Satyanaraya, Trivikram (2022) Driving the Switch: Promoting the Benefits of Electric Vehicle Usage : Driving the Switch: Promoting the Benefits of Electric Vehicle Usage. Masters thesis, Lancaster University.
Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikos and Fildes, Robert (2016) Complex exponential smoothing. PhD thesis, Lancaster University.