Items where Author is "Kourentzes, Nikolaos"

Journal Article

Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Killick, Rebecca (2024) Multi-step Estimators and Shrinkage Effect in Time Series Models. Computational Statistics, 39 (3). pp. 1203-1239. ISSN 0943-4062

Athanasopoulos, George and Hyndman, Rob J. and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Panagiotelis, Anastasios (2024) Forecast reconciliation : A review. International Journal of Forecasting, 40 (2). pp. 430-456. ISSN 0169-2070

Pritularga, Kandrika and Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2023) Shrinkage Estimator for Exponential Smoothing Models. International Journal of Forecasting, 39 (3). pp. 1351-1365. ISSN 0169-2070

Sroginis, Anna and Fildes, Robert and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2023) Use of contextual and model-based information in adjusting promotional forecasts. European Journal of Operational Research, 307 (3). pp. 1177-1191. ISSN 0377-2217

Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Ord, John Keith (2022) Complex exponential smoothing. Naval Research Logistics, 69 (8). pp. 1108-1123. ISSN 0894-069X

Ramos, Patrícia and Oliveira, José Manuel and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Fildes, Robert (2022) Forecasting Seasonal Sales with Many Drivers : Shrinkage or Dimensionality Reduction? Applied System Innovation, 6 (1): 3. ISSN 2571-5577

Schaer, Oliver and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Fildes, Robert (2022) Predictive competitive intelligence with pre‐release online search traffic. Production and Operations Management, 31 (10). pp. 3823-3839. ISSN 1059-1478

Saoud, Patrick and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Boylan, John E. (2022) Approximations for the Lead Time Variance : a Forecasting and Inventory Evaluation. Omega, 110: 102614. ISSN 0305-0483

Petropoulos, Fotios and Apiletti, Daniele and Assimakopoulos, Vassilios and Babai, Mohamed Zied and Barrow, Devon K. and Ben Taieb, Souhaib and Bergmeir, Christoph and Bessa, Ricardo J. and Bijak, Jakub and Boylan, John E. and Browell, Jethro and Carnevale, Claudio and Castle, Jennifer L. and Cirillo, Pasquale and Clements, Michael P. and Cordeiro, Clara and Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz and De Baets, Shari and Dokumentov, Alexander and Ellison, Joanne and Fiszeder, Piotr and Franses, Philip Hans and Frazier, David T. and Gilliland, Michael and Gönül, M. Sinan and Goodwin, Paul and Grossi, Luigi and Grushka-Cockayne, Yael and Guidolin, Mariangela and Guidolin, Massimo and Gunter, Ulrich and Guo, Xiaojia and Guseo, Renato and Harvey, Nigel and Hendry, David F. and Hollyman, Ross and Januschowski, Tim and Jeon, Jooyoung and Jose, Victor Richmond R. and Kang, Yanfei and Koehler, Anne B. and Kolassa, Stephan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Leva, Sonia and Li, Feng and Litsiou, Konstantia and Makridakis, Spyros and Martin, Gael M. and Martinez, Andrew B. and Meeran, Sheik and Modis, Theodore and Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos and Önkal, Dilek and Paccagnini, Alessia and Panagiotelis, Anastasios and Panapakidis, Ioannis and Pavía, Jose M. and Pedio, Manuela and Pedregal, Diego J. and Pinson, Pierre and Ramos, Patrícia and Rapach, David E. and Reade, J. James and Rostami-Tabar, Bahman and Rubaszek, Michał and Sermpinis, Georgios and Shang, Han Lin and Spiliotis, Evangelos and Syntetos, Aris A. and Talagala, Priyanga Dilini and Talagala, Thiyanga S. and Tashman, Len and Thomakos, Dimitrios and Thorarinsdottir, Thordis and Todini, Ezio and Trapero Arenas, Juan Ramón and Wang, Xiaoqian and Winkler, Robert L. and Yusupova, Alisa and Ziel, Florian (2022) Forecasting : theory and practice. International Journal of Forecasting, 38 (3). pp. 705-871. ISSN 0169-2070

Pritularga, Kandrika and Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2021) Stochastic coherency in forecast reconciliation. International Journal of Production Economics, 240: 108221. ISSN 0925-5273

Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Athanasopoulos, George (2021) Elucidate structure in intermittent demand series. European Journal of Operational Research, 288 (1). pp. 141-152. ISSN 0377-2217

Barrow, Devon and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Sandberg, Rickard and Niklewski, Jacek (2020) Automatic robust estimation for exponential smoothing : Perspectives from statistics and machine learning. Expert Systems with Applications, 160: 113637. ISSN 0957-4174

Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Trapero, Juan R. and Barrow, Devon (2020) Optimising forecasting models for inventory planning. International Journal of Production Economics, 225: 107597. ISSN 0925-5273

Spiliotis, Evangelos and Petropoulos, Fotios and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Assimakopoulos, Vassilios (2020) Cross-temporal aggregation : Improving the forecast accuracy of hierarchical electricity consumption. Applied Energy, 261: 114339. ISSN 0306-2619

Trapero Arenas, Juan Ramon and Cardos, Manuel and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2019) Empirical safety stock estimation based on kernel and GARCH models. Omega: The International Journal of Management Science, 84. pp. 199-211. ISSN 0305-0483

Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Athanasopoulos, George (2019) Cross-temporal coherent forecasts for Australian tourism. Annals of Tourism Research, 75. pp. 393-409. ISSN 0160-7383

Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Barrow, Devon Kennard and Petropoulos, Fotios (2019) Another look at forecast selection and combination : evidence from forecast pooling. International Journal of Production Economics, 209. pp. 226-235. ISSN 0925-5273

Sagaert, Yves R. and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and De Vuyst, Stijn and Aghezzaf, El-Houssaine and Desmet, Bram (2019) Incorporating macroeconomic leading indicators in tactical capacity planning. International Journal of Production Economics, 209. pp. 12-19. ISSN 0925-5273

Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Li, Dong and Strauss, Arne (2019) Unconstraining methods for revenue management systems under small demand. Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, 18 (1). pp. 27-41. ISSN 1476-6930

Schaer, Oliver and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Fildes, Robert Alan (2019) Demand forecasting with user-generated online information. International Journal of Forecasting, 35 (1). pp. 197-212. ISSN 0169-2070

Trapero Arenas, Juan Ramon and Cardos, Manuel and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2019) Quantile forecast optimal combination to enhance safety stock estimation. International Journal of Forecasting, 35 (1). pp. 239-250. ISSN 0169-2070

Barrow, Devon Kennard and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2018) The impact of special days in call arrivals forecasting : a neural network approach to modelling special days. European Journal of Operational Research, 264 (3). pp. 967-977. ISSN 0377-2217

Sagaert, Yves R. and Aghezzaf, El-Houssaine and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Desmet, Bram (2018) Tactical sales forecasting using a very large set of macroeconomic indicators. European Journal of Operational Research, 264 (2). pp. 558-569. ISSN 0377-2217

Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2018) Demand Forecasting for Managers, Kolassa Stephan, Siemsen Enno. Business Expert Press, LLC, New York (2016), ISBN: 978-1-60649-502-5. International Journal of Forecasting, 34 (1). pp. 117-118. ISSN 0169-2070

Petropoulos, Fotios and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos and Siemsen, Enno (2018) Judgmental Selection of Forecasting Models. Journal of Operations Management, 60. pp. 34-46. ISSN 0272-6963

Sagaert, Yves R. and Aghezzaf, El-Houssaine and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Desmet, Bram (2018) Temporal big data for tire industry tactical sales forecasting. Interfaces, 48 (2). pp. 121-129. ISSN 0092-2102

Athanasopoulos, George and Hyndman, Rob J. and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Petropoulos, Fotios (2017) Forecasting with temporal hierarchies. European Journal of Operational Research, 262 (1). pp. 60-74. ISSN 0377-2217

Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Rostami-Tabar, Bahman and Barrow, Devon (2017) Demand forecasting by temporal aggregation : using optimal or multiple aggregation levels? Journal of Business Research, 78. pp. 1-9. ISSN 0148-2963

Petropoulos, Fotios and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos (2016) Another look at estimators for intermittent demand. International Journal of Production Economics, 181 (Part A). pp. 154-161. ISSN 0925-5273

Barrow, Devon Kennard and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2016) Distributions of forecasting errors of forecast combinations : implications for inventory management. International Journal of Production Economics, 177. pp. 24-33. ISSN 0925-5273

Petropoulos, Fotios and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2016) Commentary : two sides of the same coin. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting (42). pp. 37-39. ISSN 1555-9068

Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2013) Intermittent demand forecasts with neural networks. International Journal of Production Economics, 143 (1). pp. 198-206. ISSN 0925-5273

Trapero Arenas, Juan and Pedregal, Diego J. and Fildes, Robert and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2013) Analysis of judgmental adjustments in the presence of promotions. International Journal of Forecasting, 29 (2). pp. 234-243. ISSN 0169-2070

Trapero Arenas, Juan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Fildes, Robert (2012) Impact of Information Exchange on Supplier Forecasting Performance. Omega: The International Journal of Management Science, 40 (6). pp. 738-747. ISSN 0305-0483

Fildes, Robert and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2011) Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change. International Journal of Forecasting, 27 (4). pp. 968-995.

Fildes, Robert and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2011) Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change: Postscript. International Journal of Forecasting, 27 (4). pp. 1004-1005. ISSN 0169-2070

Crone, Sven F. and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2010) Feature selection for time series prediction - A combined filter and wrapper approach for neural networks. Neurocomputing, 73 (10-12). pp. 1923-1936. ISSN 0925-2312

Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings

Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2012) Data driven fitting sample selection for time series forecasting with neural networks. In: The 2012 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN) :. IEEE. ISBN 978-1-4673-1488-6

Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2011) Modelling functional outliers for high frequency time series forecasting with neural networks : an empirical evaluation for electricity load data. In: Proceedings of the 2011 International Conference on Data Mining :. CSREA Press, pp. 313-319. ISBN 1-60132-168-6

Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Crone, Sven F. (2011) Semi-supervised monitoring of electric load time series for unusual patterns. In: The 2011 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN) :. IEEE, San Jose, pp. 2852-2859. ISBN 978-1-4244-9636-5

Crone, Sven F. and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2011) The impact of preprocessing on forecasting electrical load: an empirical evaluation of segmenting time series into subseries. In: The 2011 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN) :. IEEE, San Jose, pp. 3285-3292. ISBN 978-1-4244-9636-5

Panaretou, Argyro and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2011) The value of corporate risk management: Is predictive modelling possible? In: 34th Annual Congress of European Accounting Association, EAA 2011 :. UNSPECIFIED.

Barrow, Devon K. and Crone, Sven F. and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2010) An Evaluation of Neural Network Ensembles and Model Selection for Time Series Prediction. In: The 2010 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN) :. IEEE, New York, pp. 1-8. ISBN 978-1-4244-6917-8

Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Crone, Sven F. (2010) Frequency independent automatic input variable selection for neural networks for forecasting. In: The 2010 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN) :. IEEE, New York, -. ISBN 978-1-4244-6917-8

Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Crone, Sven (2010) Inference for Neural Network Predictive Models with Impulse Interventions. In: International Conference on Data Mining (Las Vegas) - 2010 :. CSREA Press, pp. 273-279. ISBN 1-60132-138-4

Crone, Sven F. and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2010) Naive Support Vector Regression and Multilayer Perceptron Benchmarks for the 2010 Neural Network Grand Competition (NNGC) on Time Series Prediction. In: The 2010 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN) :. IEEE, New York, -. ISBN 978-1-4244-6917-8

Crone, Sven F. and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2009) Input-variable Specification for Neural Networks - an Analysis of Forecasting low and high Time Series Frequency. In: International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, 2009. IJCNN 2009. :. IEEE, Atlanta, pp. 3221-3228. ISBN 978-1-4244-3549-4

Monograph

Schaer, Oliver and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Fildes, Robert Alan (2019) Estimating the market potential with pre-release buzz. Working Paper. Department of Management Science, Lancaster University. (Unpublished)

Schaer, Oliver and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Fildes, Robert Alan (2018) Demand forecasting with user-generated online information. Working Paper. Lancaster University Management School, Lancaster. (Unpublished)

Svetunkov, Ivan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2018) Complex Exponential Smoothing for Seasonal Time Series. Working Paper. Department of Management Science, Lancaster University, Lancaster.

Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Trapero, Juan R. (2018) On the use of multi-step cost functions for generating forecasts. Working Paper. Department of Management Science, Lancaster University.

Trapero Arenas, Juan Ramon and Cardos, Manuel and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2016) Empirical safety stock estimation based on Kernel and GARCH models. Working Paper. UNSPECIFIED.

Contribution to Conference

Liu, Liu and Stacey, Patrick and Tarafdar, Monideepa and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2017) Simplifying fitness games for users with learning disabilities, Hawaii International Conference on Systems and Sciences (HICSS) 2017. In: Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, 2017-01-04 - 2017-01-07, Hilton Waikoloa Village.

Book/Report/Proceedings

Ord, Keith and Fildes, Robert Alan and Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2017) Principles of Business Forecasting. Wessex Press Publishing Co., New York.

Thesis

Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Crone, Sven and Fildes, Robert (2009) Input variable selection for time series forecasting with artificial neural networks : an empirical evaluation across varying time series frequencies. PhD thesis, Lancaster University.

Kourentzes, Nikolaos (2009) Input Variable Selection for Time Series Forecasting with Artificial Neural Networks: An Empirical Evaluation across Varying Time Series Frenquencies. PhD thesis, Lancaster University.