Hossaini, R. and Chipperfield, M. P. and Montzka, S. A. and Rap, A. and Dhomse, S. and Feng, W. (2015) Efficiency of short-lived halogens at influencing climate through depletion of stratospheric ozone. Nature Geoscience, 8 (3). pp. 186-190. ISSN 1752-0894
Abstract
Halogens released from long-lived anthropogenic substances, such as chlorofluorocarbons, are the principal cause of recent depletion of stratospheric ozone, a greenhouse gas(1-3). Recent observations show that very short-lived substances, with lifetimes generally under six months, are also an important source of stratospheric halogens(4,5). Short-lived bromine substances are produced naturally by seaweed and phytoplankton, whereas short-lived chlorine substances are primarily anthropogenic. Here we used a chemical transport model to quantify the depletion of ozone in the lower stratosphere from short-lived halogen substances, and a radiative transfer model to quantify the radiative effects of that ozone depletion. According to our simulations, ozone loss from short-lived substances had a radiative effect nearly half that from long-lived halocarbons in 2011 and, since pre-industrial times, has contributed a total of about -0.02 W m(-2) to global radiative forcing. We find natural short-lived bromine substances exert a 3.6 times larger ozone radiative effect than long-lived halocarbons, normalized by halogen content, and show atmospheric levels of dichloromethane, a short-lived chlorine substance not controlled by the Montreal Protocol, are rapidly increasing. We conclude that potential further significant increases in the atmospheric abundance of short-lived halogen substances, through changing natural processes(6-8) or continued anthropogenic emissions(9), could be important for future climate.