Remote coral reefs can sustain high growth potential and may match future sea-level trends

Perry, Chris T. and Murphy, Gary N. and Graham, Nicholas A. J. and Wilson, Shaun K. and Januchowski-Hartley, Fraser A. and East, Holly K. (2015) Remote coral reefs can sustain high growth potential and may match future sea-level trends. Scientific Reports, 5: 18289. ISSN 2045-2322

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Abstract

Climate-induced disturbances are contributing to rapid, global-scale changes in coral reef ecology. As a consequence, reef carbonate budgets are declining, threatening reef growth potential and thus capacity to track rising sea-levels. Whether disturbed reefs can recover their growth potential and how rapidly, are thus critical research questions. Here we address these questions by measuring the carbonate budgets of 28 reefs across the Chagos Archipelago (Indian Ocean) which, while geographically remote and largely isolated from compounding human impacts, experienced severe (> 90%) coral mortality during the 1998 warming event. Coral communities on most reefs recovered rapidly and we show that carbonate budgets in 2015 average +3.7 G (G = kg CaCO3 m(-2) yr(-1)). Most significantly the production rates on Acropora-dominated reefs, the corals most severely impacted in 1998, averaged +8.4 G by 2015, comparable with estimates under pre-human (Holocene) disturbance conditions. These positive budgets are reflected in high reef growth rates (4.2 mm yr(-1)) on Acropora-dominated reefs, demonstrating that carbonate budgets on these remote reefs have recovered rapidly from major climate-driven disturbances. Critically, these reefs retain the capacity to grow at rates exceeding measured regional mid-late Holocene and 20th century sea-level rise, and close to IPCC sealevel rise projections through to 2100.

Item Type:
Journal Article
Journal or Publication Title:
Scientific Reports
Uncontrolled Keywords:
/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1000
Subjects:
?? central indian-oceanregion-wide declineschagos archipelagoclimate-changecarbonate productionindo-pacificecosystemsislandsresponsessedimentgeneral ??
ID Code:
81007
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
17 Aug 2016 13:30
Refereed?:
Yes
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
15 Jul 2024 16:04