Empirical evidence on individual, group and shrinkage seasonal indices

Chen, Huijing and Boylan, John (2008) Empirical evidence on individual, group and shrinkage seasonal indices. International Journal of Forecasting, 24 (3). pp. 525-534. ISSN 0169-2070

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This paper provides empirical evidence on forecasting seasonal demand using both individual and group seasonal indices methods. The findings show that the group seasonal indices methods outperform the individual seasonal indices method. This paper also offers empirical results from comparing two shrinkage methods with the group seasonal indices methods. The theoretical rules developed by the authors for choosing between group seasonal indices and individual seasonal indices produce more accurate forecasts than do published rules for choosing between shrinkage methods, when measured by the MSE, and are competitive when measured by the symmetric MAPE.

Item Type: Journal Article
Journal or Publication Title: International Journal of Forecasting
Uncontrolled Keywords: /dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1400/1403
Departments: Lancaster University Management School > Management Science
ID Code: 73015
Deposited By: ep_importer_pure
Deposited On: 24 Feb 2015 08:05
Refereed?: Yes
Published?: Published
Last Modified: 29 Jan 2020 07:45
URI: https://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/73015

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