Bayesian analysis of Poisson regression with lognormal unobserved heterogeneity : with an application to the patent-R&D relationship

Tsionas, Michael (2010) Bayesian analysis of Poisson regression with lognormal unobserved heterogeneity : with an application to the patent-R&D relationship. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 39 (10). pp. 1689-1706. ISSN 0361-0926

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Abstract

This article considers explicit and detailed theoretical and empirical Bayesian analysis of the well-known Poisson regression model for count data with unobserved individual effects based on the lognormal, rather than the popular negative binomial distribution. Although the negative binomial distribution leads to analytical expressions for the likelihood function, a Poisson-lognormal model is closer to the concept of regression with normally distributed innovations, and accounts for excess zeros as well. Such models have been considered widely in the literature (Winkelmann, 2008). The article also provides the necessary theoretical results regarding the posterior distribution of the model. Given that the likelihood function involves integrals with respect to the latent variables, numerical methods organized around Gibbs sampling with data augmentation are proposed for likelihood analysis of the model. The methods are applied to the patent-R&D relationship of 70 US pharmaceutical and biomedical companies, and it is found that it performs better than Poisson regression or negative binomial regression models.

Item Type:
Journal Article
Journal or Publication Title:
Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods
Uncontrolled Keywords:
/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2600/2613
Subjects:
?? bayesian analysiscount datagibbs samplingheterogeneitylognormal distributionpoisson distributionstatistics and probability ??
ID Code:
65240
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
17 Jun 2013 12:56
Refereed?:
Yes
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
15 Jul 2024 14:02