Zipf, Gibrat and geography : evidence from China, India and Brazil

Soo, Kwok Tong (2014) Zipf, Gibrat and geography : evidence from China, India and Brazil. Papers in Regional Science, 93 (1). pp. 159-181. ISSN 1056-8190

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Abstract

We investigate Zipf's Law on the size distribution and Gibrat's Law on the growth of sub-national populations in China, India and Brazil. We reject Zipf's Law for India, but not for China and Brazil; a log normal distribution also fits Brazil well, but not China and India. Gibrat's Law holds for Brazil; that is, lagged population is the best predictor of current population in Brazil. In China, market potential is an important predictor of population growth, while in India both crop area and market potential are important. Our results show that there is a diversity of experiences across countries, and we speculate that this diversity maybe caused by differences in the characteristics of the three countries.

Item Type:
Journal Article
Journal or Publication Title:
Papers in Regional Science
Uncontrolled Keywords:
/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2300/2301
Subjects:
?? environmental science (miscellaneous)geography, planning and developmentdiscipline-based research ??
ID Code:
63270
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
08 Apr 2013 10:56
Refereed?:
Yes
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
15 Jul 2024 13:43