Further empirical evidence on popularity and electoral cycle effects

Peel, David and Jones, D. (1987) Further empirical evidence on popularity and electoral cycle effects. Economics Letters, 23 (1). pp. 31-36. ISSN 0165-1765

Abstract

This paper empirically examines the hypothesis that popularity is typified by ‘electoral cycle effects’. We suggest that if the data is filtered, on the basis of a model assuming informed voters, there is no evidence for the electoral cycle hypothesis.