Mukherjee, Kanchan and Iqbal, Farhat (2012) A study of Value-at-Risk based on M-estimators of the conditional heteroscedastic models. Journal of Forecasting, 31 (5). pp. 377-390. ISSN 0277-6693
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
In this paper, we investigate the performance of a class of M-estimators for both symmetric and asymmetric conditional heteroscedastic models in the prediction of value-at-risk. The class of estimators includes the least absolute deviation (LAD), Huber’s, Cauchy and B-estimator, as well as the well-known quasi maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE). We use a wide range of summary statistics to compare both the in-sample and out-of-sample VaR estimates of three well-known stock indices. Our empirical study suggests that in general Cauchy, Huber and B-estimator have better performance in predicting one-step ahead VaR than the commonly used QMLE.