An evaluation of characteristics of teams in association football using a Markov process model

Hirotsu, N and Wright, M B (2003) An evaluation of characteristics of teams in association football using a Markov process model. Working Paper. The Department of Management Science, Lancaster University.

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Abstract

This paper proposes a statistical model of a football match which is useful to provide insights of characteristics of teams. We evaluate the characteristics by means of maximum likelihood estimators for factors such as home advantage, offensive and defensive strength and their interactions, by taking account of not only goals but also possession of the ball. We build the model based on the real data of the 1999-2000 season of the English Premier League and illustrate the characteristics of the teams in ways which allow us to visualise offensive and defensive strength, preference for playing at home and preference for particular opposition teams.

Item Type:
Monograph (Working Paper)
Uncontrolled Keywords:
/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/aacsb/disciplinebasedresearch
Subjects:
ID Code:
48645
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
11 Jul 2011 21:04
Refereed?:
No
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
02 Jun 2020 07:10