Using Model-Based Geostatistics to Refine Population-Based Estimates of Trachoma Prevalence: Update from a Technical Consultation

Harte, Anna and Sasanami, Misaki and Burgert-Brucker, Clara R. and Bakhtiari, Ana and Bisanzio, Donal and Jimenez, Cristina and Solomon, Anthony W. and Kabona, George Elia and Masika, Michael Peter and Ngondi, Jeremiah and Ante-Testard, Pearl Anne and Arnold, Benjamin F. and Baayenda, Gilbert and Cuenca, Pablo Ruiz and Diggle, Peter John and Edirweera, Dileepa and Emerson, Paul M. and Fronterre, Claudio and Gass, Katherine and Newbury, Lucinda and Hooper, P. J. and Kamau, Everlyn and Kebede, Fikreab and Kyomuhangi, Irene and Lietman, Thomas M. and McCracken, Kate and Minnery, Mark and Nash, Scott D. and Nicholls, Tom and Olobio, Nicholas and Palmer, Stephanie L. and Saeedzai, Sayed Ataullah and Somerville, Stephanie and Stern, Cleo and Stukel, Diana and Szwarcwald, Celia Landmann and Talero, Sandra L. and Yevstigneyeva, Violetta and Kello, Amir B. and Harding-Esch, Emma and Giorgi, Emanuele (2025) Using Model-Based Geostatistics to Refine Population-Based Estimates of Trachoma Prevalence: Update from a Technical Consultation. The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 113 (4). pp. 930-936. ISSN 0002-9637

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Abstract

To explore how model-based geostatistics (MBG) could support trachoma elimination efforts, a technical consultation was held on March 4 and 5, 2024 by the Centre for Health Informatics, Computing, and Statistics at Lancaster University, United Kingdom, a WHO Collaborating Centre on Geostatistical Methods for Neglected Tropical Disease Research. The meeting aimed to foster collaboration for sharing insights on using MBG for decision-making; showcase its applications in assessing trachoma elimination status; address challenges, such as setting the probability threshold for elimination and resolving conflicts between survey and MBG evidence; and discuss considerations for integrating MBG into Tropical Data. Participants, including trachoma program managers, experts, academics, donors, and statisticians, reviewed MBG applications, discussed ongoing studies, identified knowledge gaps, and planned future work. This article summarizes the meeting’s presentations, discussions, and outcomes, highlighting current conclusions on and research priorities to evaluate MBG’s feasibility and utility in trachoma elimination programs.

Item Type:
Journal Article
Journal or Publication Title:
The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
Uncontrolled Keywords:
/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2700/2725
Subjects:
?? infectious diseasesvirologyparasitology ??
ID Code:
236584
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
14 Apr 2026 13:25
Refereed?:
Yes
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
14 Apr 2026 22:25