Functional Data Analysis in Flight Trajectory Clustering

Lulli, Guglielmo and Pavlidis, Nicos and Lui, Go Nam and Alam, Sameer and Pang, Bizhao and Raibulet, Claudia (2025) Functional Data Analysis in Flight Trajectory Clustering. In: INFORMS Annual Meeting 2025, 2025-10-26, Atlanta.

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Abstract

Machine learning (ML) is revolutionizing flight trajectory analysis, offering unprecedented capabilities to enhance safety, efficiency, and sustainability in aviation. This presentation showcases diverse ML applications that transform raw flight data into actionable intelligence. We explore how predictive models, leveraging techniques like regression and time-series analysis, can accurately forecast arrival times, fuel burn, and potential conflicts, enabling proactive decision-making. Unsupervised learning algorithms, such as clustering and anomaly detection, are examined for their power in identifying common flight patterns, detecting deviations from standard procedures, and flagging potential safety hazards from large-scale trajectory datasets (e.g., ADS-B). The presentation will demonstrate tangible benefits, including optimized route planning for reduced fuel consumption and emissions, improved airspace capacity utilization, and enhanced situational awareness for air traffic controllers and pilots. We will also touch upon the challenges of data integration and model validation in this critical domain. Ultimately, this exploration aims to underscore how ML-driven trajectory analysis contributes directly to a safer, more efficient, and environmentally conscious global air transportation system, paving the way for next-generation air traffic management. This work has been supported by the AI4ATM project, funded by both MAECI (Italy) and A*STAR (Singapore).

Item Type:
Contribution to Conference (Other)
Journal or Publication Title:
INFORMS Annual Meeting 2025
Uncontrolled Keywords:
Research Output Funding/yes_externally_funded
Subjects:
?? yes - externally funded ??
ID Code:
233544
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
11 Nov 2025 15:10
Refereed?:
Yes
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
11 Nov 2025 23:15