Estimated human-induced warming from a linear temperature and atmospheric CO2 relationship

Jarvis, Andrew and Forster, Piers M. (2024) Estimated human-induced warming from a linear temperature and atmospheric CO2 relationship. Nature Geoscience, 17 (12). pp. 1222-1224. ISSN 1752-0894

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Abstract

Assessing compliance with the human-induced warming goal in the Paris Agreement requires transparent, robust and timely metrics. Linearity between increases in atmospheric CO2 and temperature offers a framework that appears to satisfy these criteria, producing human-induced warming estimates that are at least 30% more certain than alternative methods. Here, for 2023, we estimate humans have caused a global increase of 1.49 ± 0.11 °C relative to a pre-1700 baseline.

Item Type:
Journal Article
Journal or Publication Title:
Nature Geoscience
Uncontrolled Keywords:
/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1900
Subjects:
?? earth and planetary sciences(all) ??
ID Code:
225766
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
20 Nov 2024 10:05
Refereed?:
Yes
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
09 Dec 2024 15:20