Global losses due to dairy cattle diseases : A comorbidity-adjusted economic analysis

Rasmussen, Philip and Barkema, Herman W. and Osei, Prince P. and Taylor, James and Shaw, Alexandra P. and Conrady, Beate and Chaters, Gemma and Muñoz, Violeta and Hall, David C. and Apenteng, Ofosuhene O. and Rushton, Jonathan and Torgerson, Paul R. (2024) Global losses due to dairy cattle diseases : A comorbidity-adjusted economic analysis. Journal of Dairy Science, 107 (9). pp. 6945-6970. ISSN 0022-0302

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Abstract

An economic simulation was carried out over 183 milk-producing countries to estimate the global economic impacts of 12 dairy cattle diseases and health conditions: mastitis (subclinical and clinical), lameness, paratuberculosis (Johne's disease), displaced abomasum, dystocia, metritis, milk fever, ovarian cysts, retained placenta, and ketosis (subclinical and clinical). Estimates of disease impacts on milk yield, fertility, and culling were collected from the literature, standardized, meta-analyzed using a variety of methods ranging from simple averaging to random-effects models, and adjusted for comorbidities to prevent overestimation. These comorbidity-adjusted disease impacts were then combined with a set of country-level estimates for lactational incidence or prevalence or both, herd characteristics, and price estimates within a series of Monte Carlo simulations that estimated and valued the economic losses due to these diseases. It was estimated that total annual global losses are US$65 billion (B). Subclinical ketosis, clinical mastitis, and subclinical mastitis were the costliest diseases modeled, resulting in mean annual global losses of approximately US$18B, US$13B, and US$9B, respectively. Estimated global annual losses due to clinical ketosis, displaced abomasum, dystocia, lameness, metritis, milk fever, ovarian cysts, paratuberculosis, and retained placenta were estimated to be US$0.2B, US$0.6B, US$0.6B, US$6B, US$5B, US$0.6B, US$4B, US$4B, and US$3B, respectively. Without adjustment for comorbidities, when statistical associations between diseases were disregarded, mean aggregate global losses would have been overestimated by 45%. Although annual losses were greatest in India (US$12B), the United States (US$8B), and China (US$5B), depending on the measure of losses used (losses as a percentage of gross domestic product, losses per capita, losses as a percentage of gross milk revenue), the relative economic burden of these dairy cattle diseases across countries varied markedly.

Item Type:
Journal Article
Journal or Publication Title:
Journal of Dairy Science
Uncontrolled Keywords:
/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1300/1311
Subjects:
?? geneticsfood scienceanimal science and zoology ??
ID Code:
224344
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
26 Sep 2024 14:20
Refereed?:
Yes
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
04 Oct 2024 00:29