Binley, Andrew M. and Buckley, Kevin M. and Calore, Cinzia and Parodi, Ulderica and La Barbera, Paolo (1997) Modelling uncertainty in estimates of recharge to a shallow coastal aquifer. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 42 (2). pp. 155-168. ISSN 0262-6667
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
Due to the difficulty of field characterization, one is often forced to employ hydrological models in order to determine estimates of aquifer recharge. A Geographical Information System (GIS) and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) may provide the basic support for such hydrological models. Unfortunately, despite the availability of these tools, the values of many parameters within distributed models remain uncertain for application to real world problems. Using the Bisagno basin (100km2) in the Liguria region of Italy, the role of model parameter uncertainty on estimates of recharge to the Bisagno Aquifer is demonstrated. Uncertainty estimation is achieved through Monte Carlo simulations with the aid of the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation procedure of Beven & Binley (1992).