Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Simulation Output Parameters

Barton, Russell and Rhodes-Leader, Luke (2024) Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Simulation Output Parameters. In: Proceedings of the 2023 Winter Simulation Conference :. ACM, New York, pp. 421-432. ISBN 9798350369663

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Abstract

Bootstrapping has been used to characterize the impact on discrete-event simulation output arising from input model uncertainty for thirty years. The distribution of simulation output statistics can be very non-normal, especially in simulation of heavily loaded queueing systems, and systems operating at a near optimal value of the output measure. This paper presents issues facing simulationists in using bootstrapping to provide confidence intervals for parameters related to the distribution of simulation output statistics, and identifies appropriate alternatives to the basic and percentile bootstrap methods. Both input uncertainty and ordinary output analysis settings are included.

Item Type:
Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings
ID Code:
214863
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
21 Feb 2024 14:05
Refereed?:
Yes
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
16 Jul 2024 05:19