Factor Timing with Portfolio Characteristics

Kagkadis, Anastasios and Nolte, Ingmar and Nolte, Sandra and Vasilas, Nikolas (2024) Factor Timing with Portfolio Characteristics. Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 14 (1). pp. 84-118. ISSN 2045-9920

Text (Factor_Timing_full_final)
Factor_Timing_full_final.pdf - Accepted Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.
Download (12MB)

Abstract

In a factor timing context, academic research has focused on identifying a set of predictors that can explain the dynamics of factor portfolios. We propose an alternative approach for timing factor portfolio returns by exploiting the information from their portfolio characteristics. Different combinations of dimension reduction techniques are employed to independently reduce the number of both predictors and portfolios to predict. Characteristic-based models outperform existing methods in terms of exact predictability, as well as investment performance.