Predictive Power in Behavioral Welfare Economics

Bouacida, Elias and Martin, Daniel (2020) Predictive Power in Behavioral Welfare Economics. Working Paper. Lancaster University, Department of Economics, Lancaster.

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Abstract

When choices are inconsistent due to behavioral biases, there is a theoretical debate about whether the structure of a model is necessary for providing precise welfare guidance based on those choices. To address this question empirically, we use standard data sets from the lab and field to evaluate the predictive power of two “model-free” approaches to behavioral welfare analysis. We find they typically have high predictive power, which means there is little ambiguity about what should be selected from each choice set. We also identify properties of revealed preferences that help to explain the predictive power of these approaches.

Item Type:
Monograph (Working Paper)
Subjects:
ID Code:
144151
Deposited By:
Deposited On:
29 May 2020 11:00
Refereed?:
No
Published?:
Published
Last Modified:
01 Dec 2020 10:42