Marnerides, Angelos and Pezaros, D. and Hutchison, David (2008) Flash Crowd Detection within the realms of an Internet Service Provider (ISP). In: The 9th Annual Postgraduate Symposium on the Convergence of Telecommunications, Networking and Broadcasting, 2008-06-232008-06-24.
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Abstract
It is truly a challenge to detect a network phenomenon with an unpredictable persona. Due to the simultaneous dependency on network traffic and end users, events such as Flash Crowds are hard to predict. This paper introduces a Flash Crowd (FC) prediction methodology to operate at the edges of the ISP network hosting the hot-spot (i.e. end-server). Such a methodology would act as the logic unit in the detection architecture that we also propose. The proposed methodology promotes prediction with the use of a mathematical relationship between the request and response rate subject to the assumption that a FC is composed as a linear state model.