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An extreme value analysis for the investigation into the sinking of the M. V. Derbyshire.

Heffernan, Janet E. and Tawn, Jonathan A. (2003) An extreme value analysis for the investigation into the sinking of the M. V. Derbyshire. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 52 (3). pp. 337-354. ISSN 1467-9876

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Abstract

The paper describes our involvement in the high court reopened formal investigation into the sinking of the bulk carrier M. V. Derbyshire. The statistical problem that we addressed concerned the estimation of the probability that the ship had sunk from a particular form of structural failure, resulting from large wave impacts on the ship, for each of a range of possible sea-state and vessel conditions. We considered several statistical models for the wave impacts on the ship with the generalized Pareto distribution, motivated by extreme value theory, providing an excellent description and aiding the investigation to draw clear conclusions about the cause of the sinking.

Item Type: Article
Journal or Publication Title: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics)
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics
Departments: Faculty of Science and Technology > Mathematics and Statistics
ID Code: 9826
Deposited By: Mrs Yaling Zhang
Deposited On: 20 Jun 2008 16:23
Refereed?: Yes
Published?: Published
Last Modified: 17 Sep 2013 08:24
Identification Number:
URI: http://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/9826

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