Lancaster EPrints

Spatial modelling of emergency service response times

Taylor, Benjamin (2017) Spatial modelling of emergency service response times. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 180 (2). pp. 433-453. ISSN 0964-1998

[img]
Preview
PDF (londonFires) - Submitted Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial.

Download (6Mb) | Preview

    Abstract

    This article concerns the statistical modelling of emergency service response times. We apply advanced methods from spatial survival analysis to deliver inference for data collected by the London Fire Brigade on response times to reported dwelling fires. Existing approaches to the analysis of these data have been mainly descriptive; we describe and demonstrate the advantages of a more sophisticated approach. Our final parametric proportional hazards model includes harmonic regression terms to describe how response time varies with time-of-day and shared spatially correlated frailties on an auxiliary grid for computational efficiency. We investigate the short-term impact of fire station closures in 2014. Whilst the London Fire Brigade are working hard to keep response times down, our findings suggest there is a limit to what can be achieved logistically: the present article identifies areas around the now closed Belsize, Downham, Kingsland, Knightsbridge, Silvertown, Southwark, Wesminster and Woolwich fire stations in which there should perhaps be some concern as to the provision of fire services.

    Item Type: Journal Article
    Journal or Publication Title: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society)
    Additional Information: This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Taylor, B. M. (2017), Spatial modelling of emergency service response times. J. R. Stat. Soc. A, 180: 433–453. doi:10.1111/rssa.12192 which has been published in final form at http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/rssa.12192/abstract This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance With Wiley Terms and Conditions for self-archiving.
    Subjects: ?? EMERGENCY SERVICE RESPONSE TIMESFIRE STATION CLOSURESLONDON FIRE BRIGADESERVICE PROVISIONSPATIAL SURVIVAL ??
    Departments: Faculty of Health and Medicine > Medicine
    ID Code: 78128
    Deposited By: ep_importer_pure
    Deposited On: 05 Feb 2016 13:56
    Refereed?: Yes
    Published?: Published
    Last Modified: 30 Apr 2019 02:09
    Identification Number:
    URI: http://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/78128

    Actions (login required)

    View Item