Smith, Paul and Beven, Keith and Panziera, Luca and Germann, Urs (2012) Flash Flood forecasting using Data Based Mechanistic models and radar rainfall forecasts. In: Waether Radar and Hydrology. IAHS Red Book Series, 351 . UNSPECIFIED, Wallingford, pp. 562-567. ISBN 978-1-907161-26-1
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
The parsimonious time series models used within the Data-Based Mechanistic (DBM) modelling framework have been shown to provide reliable accurate forecasts in many hydrological situations. In this work the DBM methodology is applied to forecast discharges during a flash flood in a small Alpine catchment. In comparison to previous work this catchment responds rapidly to rainfall. It is demonstrated, by example, that the use of a radar-derived ensemble quantitative precipitation forecast coupled to a DBM model allows the forecast horizon to be increased to a level useful for emergency response. A treatment of the predictive uncertainty in the resulting hydrological forecasts is discussed and illustrated.
| Item Type: | Contribution in Book/Report/Proceedings |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | DBM ; NORA ; flash flood ; IMPRINTS ; Verzasca |
| Subjects: | G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences |
| Departments: | Faculty of Science and Technology > Lancaster Environment Centre |
| ID Code: | 56767 |
| Deposited By: | ep_importer_pure |
| Deposited On: | 08 Aug 2012 15:12 |
| Refereed?: | No |
| Published?: | Published |
| Last Modified: | 04 Jan 2013 16:29 |
| Identification Number: | |
| URI: | http://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/56767 |
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