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Clinical versus actuarial geographic profiling approaches:a review of the research

Bennell, Craig and Taylor, Paul and Snook, Brent (2007) Clinical versus actuarial geographic profiling approaches:a review of the research. Police Practice and Research, 8 (4). pp. 335-345.

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Abstract

Geographic profiling predictions can be produced using a variety of strategies. Some predictions are made using an equation or mechanical aid (actuarial strategy) while others are made by human judges drawing on experience or heuristic principles (clinical strategy). We review research that bears directly on the issue of whether clinical strategies can produce geographic predictions that rival those produced by actuarial strategies. Although there are certain advantages associated with actuarial strategies, we argue that clinical predictions based on fast and frugal heuristics are useful. We support this argument with results from a meta‐analysis of existing geographic profiling research. We conclude by outlining our position on the relative merits of clinical and actuarial strategies, and by proposing an agenda for future research that involves examining the relative performance of profiling strategies in operational settings.

Item Type: Article
Journal or Publication Title: Police Practice and Research
Uncontrolled Keywords: Actuarial ; Decision Aids ; Geographic Profiling ; Heuristics ; Meta‐analysis ; Serial Crime
Subjects:
Departments: Faculty of Science and Technology > Psychology
ID Code: 49934
Deposited By: ep_importer_pure
Deposited On: 21 Sep 2011 09:38
Refereed?: Yes
Published?: Published
Last Modified: 30 Sep 2013 11:53
Identification Number:
URI: http://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/49934

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