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Estimating a risky term structure of brady bonds

Keswani, A (2000) Estimating a risky term structure of brady bonds. Working Paper. The Department of Accounting and Finance, Lancaster University.

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Abstract

We compare the empirical performance of a structural and reduced form default risky bond pricing model using Brady bonds from different countries. Using their collateral to estimate recovery rates, enables us to estimate pricing models in this environment with greater precision. Goodness of fit statistics indicate comparable model performance whilst our out of sample tests favour the reduced form model. We also find that allowing credit spreads to depend on riskless term structure factors enhances explanatory power. We test for a common factor driving default probabilities across countries using our reduced form model. We find that this factor is statistically significant.

Item Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Subjects: UNSPECIFIED
Departments: UNSPECIFIED
ID Code: 48609
Deposited By: ep_importer_pure
Deposited On: 11 Jul 2011 22:01
Refereed?: No
Published?: Published
Last Modified: 27 Jul 2012 01:11
Identification Number:
URI: http://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/48609

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