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Catching a draft: On the process of selecting quarterbacks in the National Football League amateur draft

Berri, D and Simmons, R (2011) Catching a draft: On the process of selecting quarterbacks in the National Football League amateur draft. Journal of Productivity Analysis, 35 (1). pp. 35-47. ISSN 0895-562X

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    Abstract

    The reverse order college draft gives the worst teams in the National Football League (NFL) the opportunity to hire the best amateur talent. For it to work effectively, teams must be able to identify the “best” talent. Our study of NFL quarterbacks highlights problems with the draft process. We find only a weak correlation between teams’ evaluations on draft day and subsequent quarterback performance in the NFL. Moreover, many of the factors that enhance a quarterback’s draft position are unrelated to future NFL performance. Our analysis highlights the difficulties in evaluating workers in the uncertain environment of professional sports.

    Item Type: Article
    Journal or Publication Title: Journal of Productivity Analysis
    Uncontrolled Keywords: Quarterback ; College ; Draft ; Performance
    Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
    Departments: Lancaster University Management School > Economics
    ID Code: 45327
    Deposited By: ep_importer_pure
    Deposited On: 11 Jul 2011 19:30
    Refereed?: Yes
    Published?: Published
    Last Modified: 16 Apr 2013 16:15
    Identification Number:
    URI: http://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/45327

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