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A Manifesto for the Equifinality Thesis.

Beven, K. J. (2006) A Manifesto for the Equifinality Thesis. Journal of Hydrology, 320 (1-2). pp. 18-36.

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    Abstract

    This essay discusses some of the issues involved in the identification and predictions of hydrological models given some calibration data. The reasons for the incompleteness of traditional calibration methods are discussed. The argument is made that the potential for multiple acceptable models as representations of hydrological and other environmental systems (the equifinality thesis) should be given more serious consideration than hitherto. It proposes some techniques for an extended GLUE methodology to make it more rigorous and outlines some of the research issues still to be resolved.

    Item Type: Article
    Journal or Publication Title: Journal of Hydrology
    Additional Information: The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal of Hydrology, 320 (1-2), 2006, © ELSEVIER.
    Uncontrolled Keywords: environmental modelling ; uncertainty ; hydrological models Equifinality ; GLUE ; Hydrological models ; Observation error ; Fuzzy measures ; Uncertainty
    Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
    Departments: Faculty of Science and Technology > Lancaster Environment Centre
    ID Code: 4419
    Deposited By: Prof Keith Beven
    Deposited On: 12 Mar 2008 10:14
    Refereed?: Yes
    Published?: Published
    Last Modified: 26 Jul 2012 18:10
    Identification Number:
    URI: http://eprints.lancs.ac.uk/id/eprint/4419

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