Beven, K. J. (2006) A Manifesto for the Equifinality Thesis. Journal of Hydrology, 320 (1-2). pp. 18-36.
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This essay discusses some of the issues involved in the identification and predictions of hydrological models given some calibration data. The reasons for the incompleteness of traditional calibration methods are discussed. The argument is made that the potential for multiple acceptable models as representations of hydrological and other environmental systems (the equifinality thesis) should be given more serious consideration than hitherto. It proposes some techniques for an extended GLUE methodology to make it more rigorous and outlines some of the research issues still to be resolved.
|Journal or Publication Title:||Journal of Hydrology|
|Additional Information:||The final, definitive version of this article has been published in the Journal of Hydrology, 320 (1-2), 2006, © ELSEVIER.|
|Uncontrolled Keywords:||environmental modelling ; uncertainty ; hydrological models Equifinality ; GLUE ; Hydrological models ; Observation error ; Fuzzy measures ; Uncertainty|
|Subjects:||G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences|
|Departments:||Faculty of Science and Technology > Lancaster Environment Centre|
|Deposited By:||Prof Keith Beven|
|Deposited On:||12 Mar 2008 10:14|
|Last Modified:||22 Oct 2016 01:50|
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